ENERGIYA XAVFINI EKONOMETRIK MODELLASHTIRISHDA ARDL MODELINING AHAMIYATI
Kalit so'zlar
https://doi.org/10.47390/SPR1342V5I8Y2025N12Kalit so'zlar
Energiya xavfi, ARDL modeli, ekonometrik modellashtirish, kointegratsiya, qisqa va uzoq muddatli tahlil.Annotasiya
Ushbu maqolada energiya xavfi tushunchasi va uni iqtisodiy barqarorlik bilan bogʻliq omillar orqali tahlil qilishning zaruriyati yoritilgan. Xususan, energiya importiga qaramlik, global neft narxlarining oʻzgaruvchanligi, va milliy iqtisodiyotdagi oʻsish surʼatlari energiya xavfining asosiy indikatorlari sifatida koʻrib chiqilgan. Ekonometrik modellashtirish usullaridan biri boʻlgan Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) modeli yordamida energiya xavfining qisqa va uzoq muddatli taʼsirlarini baholash imkoniyati oʻrganilgan.
Manbalar
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